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Massive Pandemic Evictions Fail to Materialize

When the COVID-19 pandemic began in March 2020, many housing experts predicted a wave of pandemic-related evictions from our nation s apartments. There were predictions that as many as 40 million people would be put out of their homes. The wait continues - because evictions have not been nearly as high as predicted. The early dire predictions prompted federal, state, and local governments to enact emergency policies to temporarily ban evictions. Two national eviction moratoriums lasted nearly uninterrupted for 17 months, until August 2021, and some states and cities still have eviction and other tenant protections in place today. When the national moratorium ended, housing experts, renter groups, and elected officials expected a surge of evictions. Now, five months later, evictions have increased, but nowhere near the level expected. Does that mean the crisis has passed? Not necessarily. Courts are now working their way through a backlog of eviction filings, but according to Eviction Lab, the nation s most comprehensive tracker of eviction data, evictions in most places are nearly 40 percent below the historical average. The question is, after all the "expert" predictions, why did the flood of evictions not occur? One possibility is that the predictions caught the attention of policymakers. This led to the eviction moratorium, stimulus payments, extended unemployment insurance, and rental assistance. Another reason is that smaller landlords - the "mom and pops" - have been more accommodating with tenants, since losing a tenant would not guarantee a replacement household. Of course, it is always possible that the flood of evictions is actually taking place, and we just can t see it. Even though courts prohibited formal evictions, millions of tenants face "informal evictions," with landlords refusing to make necessary repairs or changing the locks without notice. It is likely that all of these factors play a role in there being fewer evictions than predicted. It is also true that despite the outstanding efforts of the Eviction Lab, there is no national eviction database. More than 30% of U.S. counties do not even report eviction data. And informal evictions - which are not tracked at all - occur 500% more than court-ordered evictions. It is clear that the doomsayers who predicted 40 million evictions were wrong. That is because the data that was used in coming up with that number was a poor barometer of likely evictions. Beginning in April 2020, a survey by the U.S. Census Bureau asked thousands of renters how confident they were in their ability to pay rent the following month. Week after week, a quarter to a third of all renters interviewed said that they were not confident in their ability to pay rent for the upcoming month. The weakness in this data is obvious. People are scared in times of crisis and are not likely to be the best predictors of whether they will be able to pay their rent. Early in the pandemic, there was a great deal of stress about food insecurity, anxiety, and depression. This automatically led to stress about the ability to pay rent. General anxiety leads to housing anxiety. Based on these surveys, a consortium of researchers and organizations projected that up to 40 million renters were at risk of eviction. This led to the headlines citing the 40 million figure. Housing advocates used this to their advantage in pushing the federal government to extend the eviction moratorium and securing almost $50 billion in rental assistance. There is no question that the dire predictions saved many Americans from eviction. The number of evictions was clearly over-estimated, but perhaps that is better than an underestimation. Had the government not been terrified of a flood of evictions, it is unlikely they would have acted in the aggressive manner they did to prevent those evictions. Ultimately, however, accurate surveys relating to potential evictions during national emergencies - of which there will be more - will be needed. Public policy relies on sound information. Today, the Eviction Tracking System established by the Eviction Lab is the best tool we have for tracking evictions in the United States. It covers six states and 31 major cities, but it is only able to track eviction filings for one-quarter of the nation s renters and does not track actual eviction judgments. Most local governments do not report annual eviction statistics, much less where evictions are concentrated or the amount of back rent that is prompting evictions. 38% of rural officials and 22% of city officials told the National League of Cities that they did not know whether evictions have increased or decreased from last year. To truly understand evictions and make informed decisions to prevent them, states and counties need the resources to track and share their own eviction data, and that data needs to be part of a government database. With such a system, researchers will be better positioned to provide legislators with accurate estimates.

A. J. Johnson Partners with Mid-Atlantic AHMA for February Training on Affordable Housing

During the month of February 2022, A. J. Johnson will be partnering with the MidAtlantic Affordable Housing Management Association for three live webinars intended for real estate professionals, particularly those in the affordable multifamily housing field. The following live webinars will be presented: February 15: Basic LIHTC Compliance - This training is designed primarily for site managers and investment asset managers responsible for site-related asset management and is especially beneficial to those managers who are relatively inexperienced in the tax credit program. It covers all aspects of credit related to on-site management, including the applicant interview process, the determination of resident eligibility (income and student issues), handling recertification, setting rents - including a full review of utility allowance requirements - lease issues, and the importance of maintaining the property. The training includes problems and questions designed to ensure that students are fully comprehending the material. February 16: Dealing with Tenant-on-Tenant & Workplace Harassment - Dealing with tenant-on-tenant harassment is an evolving area of fair housing law. Landlords are generally familiar with how their actions can be construed as discriminatory. But how should landlords react when one resident is violating the fair housing rights of another resident? Title VII of the Civil Rights Act of 1964 prohibits discrimination based on sex in the workplace - including sexual harassment. The law applies to employers with 15 or more employees. In addition to having a written sexual harassment policy, companies should also have an effective complaint procedure. Many businesses in the United States have no policies regarding sexual harassment, and such harassment occurs in the highest levels of corporate management. However, the risk of not having such a policy far outweighs the effort required to implement one. These risks are greater now than ever before. Victims of sexual harassment may now recover damages (including punitive damages) and the Supreme Court has made it easier to prove injury. This Three-hour training is designed to help property owners and managers understand the current legal state of these two issues and to establish policies to limit potential liability. The session will include a discussion of the two most relevant court cases relating to tenant-on-tenant harassment as well as cases that outline employer risk regarding harassment in the workplace. Participants will also be provided with recommended policies to limit potential liability. February 23: The Verification and Calculation of Income and Assets on Affordable Housing Properties - This five-hour course (there will be a one-hour lunch break) provides concentrated instruction on the required methodology for calculating and verifying income, and for determining the value of assets and income generated by those assets. The first section of the course involves a comprehensive discussion of employment income, along with military pay, pensions/social security, self-employment income, and child support. It concludes with workshop problems designed to test what the student has learned during the discussion phase of the training and serve to reinforce HUD required techniques for the determination of income. The second component of the training focuses on a detailed discussion of requirements related to the determination of asset value and income and is applicable to all federal housing programs, including the low-income housing tax credit, tax-exempt bonds, Section 8, Section 515, HOME, and HOPE VI. Multiple types of assets are covered, both in terms of what constitutes an asset and how must they are verified. This section also concludes with a series of problems, designed to test the student s understanding of the basic requirements relative to assets. These sessions are part of the year-long collaboration between A. J. Johnson and MidAtlantic AHMA and are designed to provide affordable housing professionals with the knowledge needed to effectively manage the complex requirements of the various agencies overseeing these programs. Persons interested in any (or all) of these training sessions may register by visiting either www.ajjcs.net or https://www.mid-atlanticahma.org.

A. J. Johnson to Offer Average Income Live Webinar

A. J. Johnson will be conducting a webinar on January 26, 2022, on Requirements & Best Practices Relating to the Average Income Minimum Set-Aside for LIHTC properties. The Webinar will be held at 1:00 PM Eastern Time. The Average Income Minimum Set-Aside Test ("AI") was added to the LIHTC program in March 2018. While it is being implemented successfully on many properties, there remains a good deal of industry-wide confusion about the use of the AI set-aside and the risks involved. This one-hour live webinar will review the requirements of the AI, discuss the risks of this set-aside, and provide best practice recommendations for the implementation of the Average Income test. We will also cover the current IRS guidance relating to the AI set-aside and recent industry requests made to the IRS. The Webinar will be presented by A. J. Johnson, a nationally recognized expert on affordable housing who has already provided compliance oversight on multiple properties using the AI set-aside. Those interested in participating in the Webinar may register on the A. J. Johnson Consulting Services website (www.ajjcs.net) under "Training."

IRS Extends COVID-19 Relief for LIHTC and Tax-Exempt Bond Properties

On Friday, January 14, 2022, the IRS will release a notice (2022-05) extending widespread temporary relief from certain requirements for low-income housing tax credit (LIHTC) financed and private activity tax-exempt bond-financed properties due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Extended relief will include: Relief for the 10% test for carryover allocations. If the original deadline for an owner to meet the 10% test for carryover allocations is on or after April 1, 2020 and on or before December 31, 2020, the deadline is extended to the original deadline plus two years. If the original deadline is on or after January 1, 2021 and before December 31, 2022, the deadline is extended to December 31, 2022;The 24-month minimum rehabilitation period. If  the original  deadline for  the 24-month minimum  rehabilitation  expenditure period for  a building  originally  is  on or  after April  1,  2020,  and is  on  or  before December  31,  2021,  then  that  deadline is extended  to  the  original  date  plus  18  months. If  the original  deadline  for  this  requirement  is  on or  after  January  1,  2022,  and on or  before June  30,  2022,  then  that  deadline is  extended to June 30,  2023. If  the original  deadline  for  this  requirement  is  on or  after  July  1,  2022,  and on or before  December  31,  2022,  then that  deadline  is  extended to the original  date plus  12 months. If  the original  deadline  for  this  requirement  is  on or  after  January  1,  2023,  and on or  before December  30,  2023,  then  that  deadline is  extended  to December  31, 2023;The placed-in-service deadline.   If  the  original  deadline for  a low-income  building to be placed in  service  was  the close of  calendar  year  2020,  the new  deadline is  the close of  calendar  year  2022  (that  is,  December  31,  2022). If  the original  placed-in-service deadline was  the  close of  calendar  year  2021 and the  original  deadline for  the 10-percent  test  in  42(h)(1)(E)(ii)  was  before  April  1, 2020,  the  new  placed-in-service deadline  is  the close  of  calendar  year  2022  (that is,  December  31,  2022). If  the original  placed-in-service deadline is  the  close of  calendar  year  2021 and the  original  deadline for  the 10-percent  test  in  42(h)(1)(E)(ii)  was  on or  after April  1,  2020,  and  on  or  before  December  31,  2020,  then the new  placed-in service deadline  is  the  close of  calendar  year  2023  (that  is,  December  31,  2023). If  the original  placed-in-service deadline is  the  close of  calendar  year  2022 (and thus  the  original  deadline for  the  10-percent  test  was  in  2021),  then  the new placed-in-service  deadline is  the close  of  calendar  year  2023  (that is, December  31,  2023);The reasonable restoration period in the event of casualty loss. For  purposes  of    42(j)(4)(E)  both in  the case  of  a casualty  loss  not  due to a  pre-COVID-19-pandemic  Major  Disaster  and in situations  governed by  section  8.02 of  Rev. Proc.  2014-49 in  the  case of  a casualty  loss  due  to  a pre-COVID-19-pandemic  Major Disaster,  if  a low-income  building s  qualified  basis  is  reduced  by  reason  of  the casualty loss  and the reasonable period to  restore  the  loss  by  reconstruction  or  replacement  that was  originally  set  by  the HCA  (original  Reasonable  Restoration  Period)  ends  on or  after April  1,  2020,  then  the  last  day  of  the  Reasonable Restoration Period is  postponed  by eighteen  months  but  not  beyond December  31,  2022.   Notwithstanding the  preceding sentence,  the Agency  may  require  a shorter  extension,  or  no  extension at  all; andAgency correction periods. if  a correction  period that  was  set  by  the Agency  ended on or  after  April  1,  2020,  and  before December  31,  2021,  then the  end of  the correction period  (including as  already  extended,  if  applicable)  is  extended  by  a year,  but  not beyond December  31,  2022.   If  the correction  period  originally  set  by  the Agency  ends during  2022,  the  end  of  the  period is  extended to December  31,  2022.   Notwithstanding the  preceding sentences,  the Agency  may  require a shorter  extension,  or  no  extension at  all. The notice also provides an extension to satisfy occupancy obligations. If the close of the first year of the credit period with respect to a building was on or after April 1, 2020, and on or before December 31, 2022, then, for purposes of 42(f)(3)(A)(ii), the qualified basis for the building for the first year of the credit period is calculated by taking into account any increase in the number of low-income units by the close of the 6-month period following the close of that first year. This provides an additional six months after the first year of the credit period to qualify units in order to avoid the 2/3-unit rule. Concerning compliance, the notice will provide an extension to the requirement for a 30-day notice for HFA reviews of tenant files through the end of 2022 and will permit HFAs to defer physical inspections through June 30, 2022, with the option to extend the deferral to the end of 2022 in consultation with local public health experts. An Agency was not required to review tenant files in the period beginning on April 1, 2020, and ending on December 31, 2021. The Agency must have resumed tenant-file review as due under 1.42-5 as of January 1, 2022. For purposes of 1.42-5(c)(2)(iii)(C)(3), between April 1, 2020, and the end of 2022, when the Agency gives an Owner reasonable notice that it will review low-income certifications of not-yet-identified low-income units, it may treat the reasonable notice as being up to 30 days. Beginning on January 1, 2023, for this purpose reasonable notice again is generally no more than 15 days. An Agency is not required to conduct compliance monitoring physical inspections in the period beginning on April 1, 2020, and ending on June 30, 2022. Because of the high State-to-State and intra-State variability of COVID-19 transmission, an Agency, in consultation with public health experts, may extend the waiver in the preceding sentence if the level of transmission makes such an extension appropriate. Depending on varying rates of transmission, the extension may be Statewide, may be limited to specific locales, or maybe on a project-by-project basis. No such extension may go beyond December 31, 2022. The Agency must resume compliance-monitoring reviews as due under 1.42-5 once the waiver expires. For purposes of 1.42-5(c)(2)(iii)(C)(3), between April 1, 2020, and the end of 2022 only, when the Agency gives an Owner reasonable notice that it will physically inspect not-yet-identified low-income units, it may treat the reasonable notice as being up to 30 days. Beginning on January 1, 2023, for this purpose reasonable notice again is generally no more than 15 days. The closure of amenities or common areas in LIHTC properties due to COVID-19 will not result in a reduction of eligible basis and essential workers may be provided emergency housing in LIHTC properties. This will apply until December 31, 2022. During the above period, an HFA may deny any application of the above waiver or, based on public health criteria, may limit the waiver to partial closure, or to limited or conditional access of an amenity or common area. (For example, the Agency may apply the waiver to access an amenity or common area that is limited to persons wearing masks or to persons fully vaccinated against COVID-19.) The following relief is provided for tax-exempt bond properties: THE 12-MONTH TRANSITION PERIOD TO MEET SET-ASIDES FOR QUALIFIED RESIDENTIAL RENTAL PROJECTS. For purposes of section 5.02 of Rev. Proc. 2004-39, if the last day of a 12-month transition period for a qualified residential rental project originally was on or after April 1, 2020, and before December 31, 2022, then that last day is postponed to December 31, 2022. B THE 147(d) 2-YEAR REHABILITATION EXPENDITURE PERIOD FOR BONDS USED TO PROVIDE QUALIFIED RESIDENTIAL RENTAL PROJECTS. If a bond is used to provide a qualified residential rental project and if the last day of the 147(d) 2-year rehabilitation expenditure period for the bond originally was on or after April 1, 2020, and before December 31, 2023, then that last day is postponed to the earlier of eighteen months from the original due date or December 31, 2023. Owners of LIHTC or tax-exempt bond properties that may be affected by this relief should obtain a copy of the IRS Notice when published on January 14.

Child Care and Affordable Housing - A Potential "Win/Win" for Residents and Owners

A "gray rhino" is a highly probable, high-impact yet neglected threat. These are not random surprises but occur after a series of warnings and visible evidence. The bursting of the housing bubble in 2008, the aftermath of hurricanes, and the fall of the Soviet Union are examples of gray rhinos. Jill Schlesinger, a CBS News business analyst, recently wrote an article making the case that childcare should be added to the list of gray rhinos. Some of the data Schlesinger outlined relating to childcare costs is stunning. A report from the U.S. Treasury stated, "The average family with at least one child under age 5 would need to devote about 13% of family income to pay for childcare, a number that is unaffordable for most families."The Department of Health & Human Services (HHS) considers childcare affordable when it costs no more than 7% of household income. With a U.S. median household income of $67,521, affordability is less than $100 per week. Childcare at this price is almost impossible to find.The average childcare cost in a daycare center is $340 per week, which means an annual income of more than $250,000 is needed to consider the care to be "affordable." A 2021 Care.com annual cost of care survey found that 57% of families spent more than $10,000 on childcare in 2020. Finding care is also a problem. Thousands of centers closed due to COVID-19. The low-paid workers of these facilities are now finding other - better paying - jobs. The median annual pay for daycare workers is $25,460 (12.24 per hour - if they work 40 hours per week). This is not a livable wage. The impact of all this is that parents (mainly women) are being forced to leave the workforce to care for their children. In September 2021, nearly 300,000 women left the labor force. Since the pandemic began that number is 3 million. The Build Back Better Plan of the Biden Administration would cap childcare costs at 7% of income for kids up to age five on a sliding scale, depending on the state of residence. In today s political climate, the chance of passage is close to zero. This lack of affordability presents a potential opportunity for forward-thinking owners of affordable housing. Among the possible ways to improve childcare affordability for residents is Partner with local daycare organizations to negotiate rate breaks for residents, in return for advertising the daycare facility at your property;Offer community space to local daycare operators to set up onsite care for children of the community; orSet up a childcare facility as a community amenity. This third option requires an analysis of the financial feasibility of the operation, as well as a determination of required local approvals. Despite this, such an operation is feasible and already exists in a number of properties across the nation. The following analysis indicates the method an owner may use as a starting point for determining feasibility. Assume that demand is such that 15 households at a property would consider onsite daycare if it was affordable.To pay for a full-time and part-time daycare worker ($18 per hour & $15 per hour:Full-time salary: $37,440Part-time salary (assume 20 hours per week): $15,600Employee benefits of $17,680 (Insurance, paid leave, health care).Total annual employee cost: $70,720If 15 children are cared for at $100 per week for 50 weeks, income is $75,000. Childcare at apartment communities would be considered a resident amenity - not a profit center. A simple break-even outcome may make consideration of this option worthwhile. Regardless of whether apartment owners determine that acting affirmatively regarding childcare is something to be initiated, the childcare crisis is real - and only getting worse. Thinking about how this burden can be eased for our customers seems like good business.

Expected 2022 Minimum Wage Changes

In 2022, 20 states will have new minimum wage rates. Many of the changes will take place on January 1 but some states make the change on July 1 while other states increase rates on odd schedules, such as Connecticut, and Florida, which saw its rate increase twice in 2021. Affordable housing managers responsible for determining the income of applicants and residents need to be aware of state and local minimum wage laws in order to ensure the most accurate possible projection of income. States with Minimum Wage in Excess of Federal $7.25 per Hour (as of 1/1/22) - unless noted otherwise, the minimum wage for tipped employees is $2.13 Alaska: $10.34 (AK does not have a different rate for tipped employees).Arizona: $12.80; $9.80 for tipped employees.Arkansas: $11.00; $2.63 for tipped employees.California: $15.00 - applies only to employers with 26 or more employees. Employers in CA with 25 or fewer employees have a minimum wage of $14.00 per hour. Note: CA is the first state to reach the $15 minimum wage.Colorado: $12.56; $9.54 for tipped employees. Colorado cities have the ability to set higher minimums, but so far only Denver has done so. The minimum wage for Denver will be $15.87 on January 1, 2022.Connecticut: $12.00.Delaware: $10.50. Minimum wage for tipped employees is $2.23.District of Columbia: $15.00.Florida: $8.65; $5.63 for tipped employees. Note: the minimum wage will increase to $10 per hour on September 30, 2021, reaching $15 by 2026.Hawaii: $10.10.Illinois: $12.00; $7.20 for tipped employees. The youth minimum wage for youth working less than 650 hours per year is $8.50.Maine: $12.75; $6.38 for tipped employees.Maryland: $12.20 for small employers (14 or fewer workers); $12.50 for all other employers; $3.63 for tipped employees.Massachusetts: $14.25; $6.15 for tipped employees.Michigan: $9.87; $3.75 for tipped employees. Note: this increase has been delayed due to high unemployment numbers and will remain at $9.87 until further notice.Minnesota: $10.33 - this is the rate for large employers (employers with $500,000 or more gross revenue). Small employers have a minimum wage of $8.42 per hour.Missouri: $11.15; $5.575 for tipped workers.Montana: $9.20, for both tipped and non-tipped employees.Nebraska: $9.00Nevada: $8.25 for employees who are not offered health insurance. On July 1, 2020, minimum wage for employees with health insurance increased to $8.00 and those without health insurance to $9.00.New Jersey: $13.00 (large employers - six or more employees); $11.90 (small employers); $5.13 for tipped employees.New Mexico: $11.50; $2.80 for tipped employees.New York: $13.20 statewide; $11 for hospitality, non-fast food, resort service; $8.80 for hospitality, non-fast food, general service; $14.50 for hospitality- fast food; ($15.00 in New York City).Ohio: $9.30 (large employers with $323,000 or more in gross receipts); $7.25 (small employers); $4.65 for tipped employees.Oregon: $11.25 (Portland, $13.25 on July 1) - effective July 1, 2020, statewide minimum will be $12.00 ($11.50 for nonurban counties).Rhode Island: 12.25; tipped employees are $3.89.South Dakota: $9.95; $4.975 for tipped employees.Vermont: $12.55; $6.28 for tipped employees.Virginia: $11.00.Washington: $14.49.West Virginia: $8.75 Certain occupations are exempt from federal minimum wage laws, but states have their own exemptions. Anytime an applicant or resident reports or has a verification of income that is less than the federal or state minimum wage, managers should follow up with employers to determine the reason. That reason should be documented in the file. This information is certainly subject to change and owners and managers should always stay up-to-date with minimum wage increases in their states and localities.

A. J. Johnson to Host Live Webinar on The 4 Percent LIHTC Floor – IRS Revenue Ruling 2021-20.

A. J. Johnson will be conducting a one-hour live webinar on January 6, 2022, on The 4 Percent LIHTC Floor - IRS Revenue Ruling 2021-20.  The Webinar will be held from 1:00 PM to 2:00 PM Eastern time. On December 27, 2020, the FY 2021 Omnibus Spending and COVID-19 Relief Bills became law. One provision of that law was setting the 4% LIHTC at a floor of 4 percent. The provision was effective for acquisition tax credits allocated after December 31, 2020, and for bond-financed properties placed in service and receiving a bond issue after December 31, 2020. The IRS has now issued Revenue Ruling 2021-20, providing clarity on when taxpayers may claim the fixed four percent credit for acquisition and bond projects. The ruling addresses three separate issues relating to the 4% credit: (1) Does the minimum 4% applicable percentage (4% floor) apply to buildings that are financed in part with a draw-down of tax-exempt bonds that were issued in 2020 but had drawn downs of the proceeds in 2021; (2) Does the minimum 4% applicable percentage (4% floor) apply to buildings that were financed with tax-exempt bonds issued in 2020 but then had a "de minimis" bond issue after 2020; and (3) Does the minimum 4% applicable percentage (4% floor) apply to buildings that received an allocation of credits in 2020 and a "de minimis" additional allocation after 2020? This one-hour live webinar will provide a detailed overview of the Revenue Ruling, with specific examples relating to each of the three issues. At the end of the webinar, which will have plenty of time for Q&A,  participants will have a full understanding of when the 4% credit may (and may not) be claimed. Those interested in participating in the Webinar may register on the A. J. Johnson Consulting Services website (www.ajjcs.net) under "Training Schedule."

A.J. Johnson to Provide Live Fair Housing Webinar on December 29

A. J. Johnson will be conducting a webinar on December 29, 2021, on Compliance with Federal & State Fair Housing Requirements. This is A.J. s last Fair Housing training of 2021 and is a must for individuals required to take fair housing training this year. The Webinar will be held from 1:00 PM to 4:00 PM Eastern time. The course "Compliance with Federal and State Fair Housing Requirements" will equip attendees with the knowledge and understanding needed to avoid fair housing violations. The course curriculum is centered around the regulations in the two major fair housing laws, The Fair Housing Act (Title VIII of the Civil Rights Act of 1968) and Section 504 of the Rehabilitation Act of 1973. The course also includes a discussion of the additional state and local protected characteristics.  In addition, relevant portions of the Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA) are covered as is an in-depth discussion of reasonable accommodation requirements - including rules relating to assistance animals. The purpose of the Fair Housing Act is to eliminate housing discrimination, promote economic opportunity, and achieve diverse, inclusive communities. Professional fair housing training assists in this mission by ensuring that housing professionals understand both the rights of the public relative to fair housing and the duties and responsibilities of real estate professionals. Those interested in participating in the Webinar may register on the A. J. Johnson Consulting Services website (www.ajjcs.net) under "Training Schedule."

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