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09/29/2017

Tax Reform Overview - September 27, 2017

By A.J. Johnson

On September 27, 2017, the Trump Administration, the House Committee on Ways and Means, and the Senate Finance Committee released "Unified Framework for Fixing Our Broken Tax Code." This nine-page proposal put out by the "big-six" represents the first significant overview of tax reform as it will be proposed by the President and the Congressional tax writing committees. The framework is clearly tilted to favor the wealthy and corporations.   The goals outlined in the publication include:   The process of developing specific legislation by the Ways and Means and Finance committees will now begin, and will include a series of hearings and (hopefully) bipartisan participation.   Following is an outline of goals for the legislation (and some of my own observations):   Tax Relief & Simplification for American Families       Competitiveness & Growth for All Job Creators     The American Model for Global Competitiveness     The cost of this framework is unknown, but estimates range from $2 trillion to more than $5 trillion over the next ten years. The devil is in the details and how this plan will be paid for will determine how quickly it moves through Congress (or if it moves through Congress). The key issue as it stands right now is that the government simply does not have enough money to pay for the plan. Ironically, in order for the Senate to avoid a filibuster (and reliance on the democrats to pass a plan), taxes may actually have to be raised - by as much as $3 trillion over the next decade in order to ensure that the bill is revenue neutral.   The term "revenue neutral" means that the overall legislation will not change the total revenues collected by the Federal government. For example, if tax rates are reduced, as proposed, that reduction has to be paid for by raising revenue in other ways, such as scaling back tax preferences. As noted above, the initial framework scales back a number of preferences, but - what are the chances that these preferences will actually be passed? This is only part of what will make a final tax reform bill so difficult. Here are a few minefields the tax-writing committees will have to navigate:     While all of us in the affordable housing industry applaud the fact that the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit is included in this initial plan, there is no guarantee it will be there at the end of the process. We will are going to have to be diligent and continue to make the case for the program, or face the possibility that it will be sacrificed to retain the other, less socially beneficial, tax benefits.     Back to news

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